The first-ever NASCAR In-Season Challenge champion will be crowned at the 2025 Brickyard 400 at Indianapolis Motor Speedway. Sunday’s race, which begins at 2 p.m. ET, is the fifth and final race of the inaugural in-season challenge, with the victor being awarded $1 million. NASCAR at Indianapolis 2025 will also impact the Cup Series standings, in which Chase Elliott currently sits at the top. However, it is William Byron who’s listed as the +450 favorite, according to the latest 2025 Brickyard 400 odds. Chase Briscoe will start on the pole for the Brickyard 400 after Toyota swept the top five starting positions. Briscoe is +700 to claim the checkered flag and -120 to secure a top-five finish.
Kyle Larson won this race last year and is at +500 according to the 2025 NASCAR at Indianapolis odds. Larson overtook Ryan Blaney in overtime of last year’s race, with Blaney coming in at +1000 and Elliott listed at +1400. The two drivers battling for the in-season challenge crown in Ty Gibbs (+1600) and Ty Dillon (+50000) are both NASCAR longshots. Before entering any 2025 Brickyard 400 picks, be sure to see the latest 2025 NASCAR at Indianapolis predictions from SportsLine’s proven projection model.
Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking into account factors such as track history and recent results.
McClure’s model began the 2025 season by calling Chase Elliott’s win in the Cook Out Clash at Bowman Gray for a +300 payout. Then it went on to predict Kyle Larson in Miami (+350), Christopher Bell’s NASCAR All-Star Race win (+600), Denny Hamlin’s win in Michigan (+650), Shane van Gisbergen’s win in Mexico City (+330), Elliott’s win in Atlanta (+1500) and van Gisbergen again in Chicago (+150) and Sonoma (+125).
All told, the model has nailed eight winners this year and a whopping 26 winners since 2021. Anyone who followed its lead on betting apps and sportsbooks on those NASCAR picks could have seen huge returns. New users also have the opportunity to take advantage of the latest Bet365 promo code, Caesars Sportsbook promo code and Fanatics Sportsbook promo code.
Now, the model simulated the 2025 Brickyard 400 10,000 times. Head to SportsLine to see the complete projected NASCAR at Indianapolis leaderboard.
Top 2025 Brickyard 400 predictions
For Sunday’s 2025 Brickyard 400, the model is high on Joey Logano, even though he’s a longshot at +2600 in the latest 2025 NASCAR at Indianapolis odds from FanDuel. He’s a target for anyone looking for a huge payday, and first-time users can also get $150 in bonus bets if their first bet wins with this FanDuel promo code.
Logano’s experience at this track can’t be discounted as just two active drivers have more Brickyard starts than his 13. He was involved in a crash with Jimmie Johnson at last year’s race, resulting in neither finishing, but prior to that, Logano always found himself in contention for the checkered flag. Over his 10 prior Brickyard starts, seven of them resulted in top 10 finishes, with the lone outlier being when he placed 13th in 2018.
He led for double-digit laps in half of those starts at Indianapolis Motor Speedway, with one stage victory and a pair of runners-up in the main races. Logano also has the backing of a team that knows its way around The Brickyard as multiple Penske drivers have achieved top 10s at each of the last three runnings of this race. With Logano also having top 15s in each of his last three starts this season, he’s in a great position to outperform his long Brickyard 400 odds. Get $150 in bonus bets instantly at Fanduel if your $5 bet wins.
The model has also revealed a shocking NASCAR prop for Sunday: Christopher Bell finishes top five for a +160 payout. He’s a potentially a strong value pick for your Brickyard NASCAR prop bets at DraftKings, where new users can get $150 in bonus bets after a $5 wager with this DraftKings promo code.
After three straight top-5 finishes in the Cup Series standings, Bell is knocking on that door again in 2025 as he sits in sixth place entering Sunday’s race. Indianapolis Motor Speedway could help Bell improve upon his standing as it’s a 2.5-mile track and Bell has dominated on these intermediate circuits. His 8.6 average finish on 2.5-mile intermediate tracks since 2022 is the second-best in the sport, and that includes finishing fourth at last year’s Brickyard 400.
Despite starting 18th in that race, Bell found his way to the front of the pack and led for multiple laps. He held his own in his only other Brickyard start, placing 12th in 2020. Pocono Raceway is the other 2.5-mile intermediate track on the Cup Series, and Bell has placed among the top dozen in three of his last four starts there. This season, Bell’s eight top 5s trail just two other drivers, while his average finish (12.6) and three victories trail just one other driver. See which other drivers to back and the rest of the projected NASCAR leaderboard at SportsLine.
How to make 2025 NASCAR at Brickyard picks
The model is also targeting three other drivers with Brickyard NASCAR odds of 12-1 or longer to make a serious run at the checkered flag. Anyone who backs these drivers could hit it big. You can see all of the model’s NASCAR picks, props, and projected leaderboard over at SportsLine.
So who wins the 2025 Brickyard 400, and which longshots are must-backs? Check out the latest 2025 NASCAR at Indianapolis odds below, then visit SportsLine now to see the full NASCAR Indianapolis projected leaderboard, all from the model that has nailed 26 winners, and find out.
2025 NASCAR Brickyard odds, drivers, lineup
See the full NASCAR at Indianapolis picks at SportsLine
(odds subject to change)
William Byron +450
Kyle Larson +500
Chase Briscoe +700
Denny Hamlin +750
Tyler Reddick +900
Ryan Blaney +1000
Christopher Bell +1200
Chris Buescher +1300
Chase Elliott +1400
Bubba Wallace +1500
Ty Gibbs +1600
Brad Keselowski +1600
Austin Cindric +2600
Joey Logano +2600
Carson Hocevar +2800
Kyle Busch +2900
Erik Jones +3400
Alex Bowman +3600
Josh Berry +5500
Ross Chastain +7000
John Hunter Nemechek +7500
Ryan Preece +7500|
Michael McDowell +10000
Shane Van Gisbergen +10000
AJ Allmendinger +15000
Daniel Suarez +19000
Austin Dillon +19000
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. +20000
Noah Gragson +25000
Zane Smith +25000
Todd Gilliland +38000
Justin Haley +38000